OI
ON24 INC. (ONTF)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 delivered revenue of $35.3M (+1.7% q/q, -5.4% y/y), non-GAAP EPS of $0.02, and sixth straight quarter of positive operating and free cash flow; gross retention reached a four-year high and total ARR ended at $127.1M with Core ARR at $125.1M .
- Results beat S&P Global consensus: revenue $35.33M vs $34.69M estimate and EPS $0.02 vs $0.0075 estimate; both were modest beats driven by improved retention, enterprise traction, and boomerang customer win-backs (Wall Street estimates from S&P Global)*.
- FY25 guidance was narrowed with a modest raise to total revenue ($137.7–$138.7M vs prior $136.0–$139.0M) and Core revenue ($135.2–$136.2M vs prior $133.7–$136.7M); non-GAAP operating loss range narrowed and non-GAAP EPS was maintained at $0.02–$0.05 .
- Management reiterated ARR inflecting positive in Q4, underpinned by stronger gross retention, enterprise mix shift, multi-year commitments (>50% of ARR), and growing AI-powered ACE adoption (mid-teens % of customers) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Retention and enterprise mix: In-period gross retention hit a four-year high; $100K+ ARR customers grew by five and represented ~two-thirds of ARR; >50% of ARR now in multi-year agreements .
- AI momentum: “A mid-teens percentage of our customers are paying for AI-powered ACE,” with new capabilities like ON24 Translate to support 64 languages and multi-language campaigns .
- Profitability/cash flow discipline: Positive adjusted EBITDA ($0.2M), sixth straight quarter of positive FCF ($2.1M), OCF $2.6M; balance sheet robust with $179.6M cash and marketable securities .
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What Went Wrong
- Year-over-year revenue decline: Total revenue down 5.4% y/y amid Virtual Conference softness and ongoing normalization vs pandemic-era peaks .
- Non-GAAP operating loss: Non-GAAP opex control improved y/y, but non-GAAP operating loss of $(0.9)M worsened y/y vs $(0.3)M in Q2’24; adjusted EBITDA also below Q2’24 .
- ARR still slightly down sequentially: Total ARR $127.1M vs $128.2M in Q1; management still expects ARR growth only by Q4, with Q3 seasonally softer .
Financial Results
Revenue and earnings vs prior periods
Q2 actual vs consensus (S&P Global)
Segment revenue (Core vs. Virtual Conference)
KPI trends
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our in-period gross retention was the highest in four years... A mid-teens percentage of our customers are paying for AI-powered ACE... We achieved positive adjusted EBITDA in Q2 and generated positive free cash flow for the sixth consecutive quarter” — Sharat Sharan, CEO .
- “The average core ARR per customer reached approximately $80,000 at the end of the second quarter, the highest we have ever reported... the percentage of our ARR in multiyear agreements [was] the highest ever at the end of Q2 at over 50%” — Sharat Sharan .
- “We delivered over the high end of our revenue guidance for Q2... we’re EBITDA profitable in Q2... raising our full year revenue guidance... we expect to be EBITDA and EPS positive in Q3, Q4 and for 2025 as a whole” — Steve Vattuone, CFO .
- “We expect to return to positive ARR growth in Q4 of this year” — Steve Vattuone .
Q&A Highlights
- Demand environment and GenAI as catalyst: CEO cited growing AI agenda among enterprises, with stronger traction in FS and life sciences; highlighted win-backs and larger multi-year/expansion deals driving pipeline improvements .
- Q4 ARR confidence: CFO pointed to beats on revenue, EBITDA, and cash flow in Q2, raised FY revenue, and reiterated expectation for Q4 ARR growth (Core +$0–$1M), while noting seasonal softness in Q3 .
- Enterprise penetration: CEO emphasized execution improvements, higher average core ARR per customer, and record multi-year mix, driven by adoption of additional products and AI capabilities .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: Revenue $35.33M vs $34.695M consensus*; Non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.02 vs $0.0075 consensus* — both beats.
- Estimate breadth: 4 estimates for revenue and EPS in Q2 2025*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- ON24 is nearing an ARR inflection, with Q3 seasonally softer but Q4 targeted to return to ARR growth, supported by improved retention, enterprise mix, and AI adoption .
- Quality of revenue is improving: more $100K+ customers, higher average core ARR per customer, and >50% in multi-year commitments should stabilize ARR and reduce churn volatility .
- Profitability and cash discipline are durable: consistent 77% non-GAAP gross margin, positive FCF and adj. EBITDA, and a strong net cash position ($179.6M) provide downside protection and capital return capacity .
- AI features (ACE, IQ, Translate) are differentiators that can expand use cases and cross-sell, especially in regulated verticals (FS, life sciences), aiding pipeline conversion and multi-product adoption .
- FY25 outlook modestly improved on revenue with stable EPS range; near-term catalysts include Q3 delivery vs guidance and evidence of ARR turning positive in Q4; active buyback adds support .
- Watch Virtual Conference headwinds and y/y comps; sustained Core Platform momentum is key to offsetting legacy declines .
- For trading: beats vs consensus and raised FY revenue range are positive; confirmation of Q4 ARR growth and continued FCF could be the next stock-moving proof points (consensus from S&P Global, actuals from company)* .
Appendix: Additional Relevant Press Releases During/around Q2 2025
- $50M share repurchase authorization (May 12, 2025) — foundational to capital return; $6.8M utilized through early Q3 .
- Vertical/customer momentum and product accolades (Apr–May 2025) — e.g., FS client engagement, #1 in G2 Spring; supports enterprise go-to-market narrative .
Notes:
- Values retrieved from S&P Global.